Voters who received Democracy-backed child tax credits favor GOP: poll

  • Democrats lost a 12-point advantage (49% – 37%) among voters who received the expanded child tax credit.
  • Voters who received the credit now support the GOP at 46%-43%, according to a new Morning Consult/Politico poll.
  • With the collapse of the Build Back Better Act, the party struggled to expand the provision.

Last year, Democrats championed expanding the Child Tax Credit (CTC) — which sent payments of $250 to $300 per child by direct deposit from July through December — as part of their sweeping economic plan to reduce poverty and provide families with funds throughout the year. for living expenses.

However, a one-year credit extension, which at one time was a centerpiece of the party’s sweeping Build Back Better Act, fell apart when Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia’s opposition to the provision helped condemn the larger bill during negotiations in Congress.

In December 2021 – when Americans were still receiving child tax credits – a Morning Consult/Politico survey watch that 49% of recipients were more likely to support a Democratic candidate for Congress, while 37% said they would likely support a Republican candidate.

Now the Democratic advantage has been erased, according to a recent poll.

In a February survey, Democrats were still clinging to a 44% to 43% advantage over the GOP — within the margin of error.

In the latest Morning Consult/Politico poll, 46% of parents or guardians with at least one child under 18 who received the credit said they were inclined to support a Republican candidate for Congress, up from 43% who have indicated that they are leaning towards a Democratic Candidate.

The numbers represent a significant 15-point swing to the GOP.

Of all voters polled this month, 43% said they would support a Democrat if the election were held today, while 43% said they would support a Republican candidate.

The latest survey was conducted from April 1 to April 4, with 2,003 registered voters and 337 respondents who reported receiving the Child Tax Credit; there were margins of error of plus or minus 2 and 5 points, respectively.

In the US bailout, which was signed into law by President Joe Biden in March 2021, the child tax credit was increased from $2,000 per child to $3,000 per child over the age of six, while parents of children under six have seen the credit increase. at $3,600.

The tax credits were paid out as direct monthly payments, and Democrats for months touted the benefits of this provision.

According to the Columbia University Center on Poverty and Social Policy, the December Child Tax Credit lifted 3.7 million children out of poverty.

However, the expanded credits expired in December and many parents are struggling with the loss of payments, compounded by rising costs on everything from housing to gasoline.

The version of the Build Back Better Act that passed the House last November included an extension of the child tax credit, but the bill’s disappearance from the Senate at the hands of Manchin has swayed the party. He demanded a work requirement for the tax credit and wants families to show they have taxable income with a W-2 form.

This week, Democratic Rep. Mondaire Jones of New York lambasted Manchin for his stance on the credit, arguing that the West Virginia lawmaker will be the reason if the party suffers politically in November.

“People recognize that poverty is a political choice — a choice Joe Manchin is making for millions of working families,” Jones said. tweeted Wednesday.

He continued, “It’s not just bad politics. It’s bad politics. If the Democrats lose ground midterm, people like Manchin will be to blame.”

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